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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations ABC Analysis |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 30-60 min | 1-2 h | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control List | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |