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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations A3 Problem Solving |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Business Strategy 5-Minuten VC-Check |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 5-15 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | VC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations | LeanStartupValidationMVP | StartupValidationCompetition |