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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min45-90 minAs neededHalber Tag
Participantsdifferent
3-102-54-155-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder UpdatesSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated Runbooks
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
IncidentOperationsReliability
ResilienceOperationsIncident
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