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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min45-90 minHalber Tag30-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-102-55-202-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksObservation Notes, Improvement Ideas
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
ResilienceOperationsIncident
LeanObservationProcessOperations
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