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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations A3 Problem Solving |  Operations After-Action Review |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together. | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 20-45 min | 2-8 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations | LearningOperationsImprovement | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations |