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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | EstimationExpertsForecasting | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |