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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 1-3 h | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | LeanStartupValidationMVP | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking |