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| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree | ![]() Product Discovery Solution Interview | ![]() Decision Making OODA Loop | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When a solution idea is already on the table, it checks how it is understood and evaluated. It looks for resonance, objections, and missing fit early in the conversation. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 30-60 min je Interview | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 5-10 Interviews | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Solution Feedback, Objection List, Validation Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | ValidationInterviewsPrototype | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |



