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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 h1-5 Tage25-40 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-8Nutzertraffic1-51-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteLearning Card with evidence and next actionExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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