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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-3 h | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking |