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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 h20–45 min15-60 min je ZyklusHalf day
Participantsdifferent
3-8Small cross-functional group1-83-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesLeverage Map, Action Strategy
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
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