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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 15-45 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | ChangeDecisionStrategy |