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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 h15-60 min je Zyklus20–45 minHalf day
Participantsdifferent
3-81-8Small cross-functional group3-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logLeverage Map, Action Strategy
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
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