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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 45-90 min | 1-2 h | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking |