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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Systems Thinking Iceberg Model |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Operations Change Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 30-60 min | 60-120 min | 45-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Iceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention Ideas | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action List |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison |