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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 hMultiple workshops over several weeks1-4 WochenHalf day
Participantsdifferent
3-82-86-30 Experten3-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsHooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics checkExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesLeverage Map, Action Strategy
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
GrowthBehaviorRetention
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
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