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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 h60-120 min15-60 min je Zyklus1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-83-81-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
GrowthRetentionConversion
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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