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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighHighMedium
Timedifferent
2-4 h2-6 h2-6 h2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-83-83-82-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
RiskRoot causeSafety
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
Root causeSafetyIncident
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