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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
2-4 h2-6 h45-120 min2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-83-82-62-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
RiskRoot causeSafety
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
Root causeSafetyIncident
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