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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of Family Tree Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Family Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
2-4 h60-120 min2-4 h2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-82-82-62-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsFamily Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic MeasuresBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic
Root causeSafetyIncident
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