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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 h60-120 min45-60 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-82-82-81-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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