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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 h1-2 h1-4 WochenHalf day
Participantsdifferent
3-82-86-30 Experten3-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesLeverage Map, Action Strategy
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
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