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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Context Map workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Domain Modeling
Context Map
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Systems Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Systems Mapping
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When several contexts need to talk to each other, it makes their relationships and dependencies legible. It helps sort integration pressure and responsibilities across system boundaries.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
2-4 h1-3 h1-4 Wochen1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
3-82-86-30 Experten3-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsContext Map, Integration Patterns, Boundary NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSystem Map, Dependencies, Leverage Points
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
Domain-Driven DesignBoundariesStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange
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