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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 h45-120 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-82-62-63-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic RecommendationsEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective Actions
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
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