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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
2-4 h45-120 min20-45 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-82-61-102-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key EventsIceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns
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