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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of several people silently writing ideas and passing sheets around with arrows.
Innovation
Brainwriting
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When loud voices or hierarchy distort the idea search, the method creates a quiet entry into joint development. It gives everyone thinking space and gathers contributions without social brakes, making diversity more visible and easier to build on.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 h15-30 min45-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-83-123-126-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsIdea sheets, Expanded concepts, Prioritized listForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
BrainstormingCollaborationInclusionIdeas
ChangeDecisionStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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