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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Business Strategy 5-Minuten VC-Check |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 45-60 min | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 5-15 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | VC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | LeanStartupValidationMVP | StartupValidationCompetition |