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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
2-4 h45-60 min45-90 min60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-82-83-122-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ChangeDecisionStrategy
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
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