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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
2-4 h10-20 min daily60-120 min60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-813-102-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesFutures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
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