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Criterion
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowLow
Timedifferent
2-6 h45-90 min20–45 min10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
3-102-8Small cross-functional group1
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
FMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation ActionsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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