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Criterion
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min2-6 h45-60 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-83-82-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
GrowthRetentionConversion
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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