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Criterion
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Purposedifferent
For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
2-6 h15-60 min15-45 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-82-91-82-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Fault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations
Tagsno overlap
RiskRoot causeSafety
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
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