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Criterion
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
2-6 h30-90 min2-6 h45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-81-63-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Fault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
RiskRoot causeSafety
DecisionTreeOptions
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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