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Criterion
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
2-6 h45-60 min20-35 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-82-81-51-5
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Fault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingTest Card with a pre-set thresholdCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
RiskRoot causeSafety
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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