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Criterion
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
2-6 h45-60 min1-5 Tage1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-82-8Nutzertraffic1-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Fault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
RiskRoot causeSafety
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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