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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Systems Thinking Wardley Mapping |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Wardley Mapping makes visible where an offering stands today and where it can evolve. The method connects user need, value chain, and evolution stages into a strategic basis for platform, build, or buy decisions. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-3 h | 45-60 min | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Wardley Map, Strategic Options, Evolution Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | StrategySystems thinkingDynamics | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics |