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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Business Strategy Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | The Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas shows how an offering is positioned relative to the market. Differentiation thereby becomes tangible in value factors instead of merely being claimed. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 45-90 min | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Strategy Canvas, Value Curve, ERRC Actions |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | StrategyPositioningInnovationValue |