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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Surveys method illustration showing its working structure
UX Research
Surveys
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When a topic needs to be validated broadly and many people can answer the same question, surveys gather structured feedback in a scalable form. Answers become comparable and segmentable instead of remaining merely anecdotal.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min3-14 Tage2-4 h45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-850+3-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsSurvey Results, Charts, Segment InsightsFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
QuantitativeResearchValidation
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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