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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min20–45 min1-2 hHalf day
Participantsdifferent
2-8Small cross-functional group2-83-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportStress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
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