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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min20–45 min2-6 h30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-8Small cross-functional group3-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision Boundaries
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
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