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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration of Value Chain Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Value Chain Analysis
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min20–45 minHalf dayHalf day
Participantsdifferent
2-8Small cross-functional group3-83-8
Formatsame
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logStress Test Report, Action Plan per ScenarioValue Chain Map, Lever List
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis
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