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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Funnel Analysis workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
Funnel Analysis
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When many visitors or users drop off along the way, the reason behind the number often stays hidden. Funnel Analysis exposes these transitions and makes visible exactly where the path collapses.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-3 h45-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-81-52-81-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsFunnel report, Drop-off analysis, Optimization hypothesesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
AnalyticsConversionGrowth
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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