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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-5 Tage45-90 min25-40 min
Participantsdifferent
2-8Nutzertraffic2-81-5
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanLearning Card with evidence and next action
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
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