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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | 20-35 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |