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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHighLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-4 WochenHalf day1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten3-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesStress Test Report, Action Plan per ScenarioDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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