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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
A paper-based illustration representing Wardley Mapping with its core stages and visible working result.
Systems Thinking
Wardley Mapping
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.Wardley Mapping makes visible where an offering stands today and where it can evolve. The method connects user need, value chain, and evolution stages into a strategic basis for platform, build, or buy decisions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-4 Wochen20-45 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten1-102-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key EventsWardley Map, Strategic Options, Evolution Notes
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
StrategySystems thinkingDynamics
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