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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-4 Wochen15-30 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten2-62-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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