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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min2-6 h45-90 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
2-83-102-83-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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