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Selected:Evaporating CloudARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs)Delphi MethodAssumption Surfacing
| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud | ![]() Architecture ARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs) | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method | ![]() Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | ARID examines how well developers can work with a technical design. It focuses on a part of the system that can still be revised, between the architecture overview and the detailed specification. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 2–4 h review as a planning range; preparation and evaluation additional | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | Designers, developers as users, and facilitation | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Prioritized development tasks, Jointly produced code or pseudocode, Observed difficulties and open design questions, Proposed design revisions | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ArchitectureEngineeringFeedbackValidationTasks | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |



