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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-4 Wochen20-35 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-61-52-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryTest Card with a pre-set thresholdAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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